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NDMA expects moderate to heavy monsoon rains in multiple parts of country

NDMA Issues Monsoon Rain Alert for Pakistan, Sindh Prepares for Heavy Downpours

The National Emergencies Operation Centre (NEOC) under the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) has issued a weather alert predicting moderate to heavy monsoon rains across multiple regions of Pakistan from July 13 (Sunday) for the next three days.

Monsoon rains, crucial for agriculture and water supplies, also bring risks such as floods, landslides, and displacement—especially in vulnerable and densely populated areas. The NEOC urges the public to take necessary precautions ahead of the anticipated weather.

Key Forecast Details

  • Increased moisture from the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea, along with an active westerly wave, will trigger heavy rainfall.

  • Significant rises in river flows expected in the Indus, Kabul, Jhelum (upstream of Mangla), and Chenab rivers.

  • Barrages like Tarbela, Taunsa, and Guddu are currently at low flood levels; Kalabagh and Chashma at medium flood levels.

  • Taunsa is expected to rise to medium flood levels, with continued low to medium flows in the Indus river stations through the week.

  • Flash floods and swelling anticipated in rivers and streams across Balochistan’s northeastern and southern districts.

  • Tarbela Dam’s storage is at 74%, while Mangla Dam is at 44%.

Residents near rivers, nullahs, and streams are advised to remain alert for sudden water surges, especially at night. Precautions include identifying safe evacuation routes, securing valuables and livestock, and preparing emergency kits with food, water, and medicines for at least three to five days.

The NDMA also calls on district administrations, particularly in Punjab, to ready de-watering equipment to handle water accumulation.

Citizens are urged to stay informed via official flood warnings through TV, radio, mobile alerts, and the Pak NDMA Disaster Alert app. Avoid crossing flooded roads, low bridges, and causeways.

Sindh’s Monsoon Preparedness

Sindh Chief Minister Syed Murad Ali Shah held a high-level meeting to review monsoon readiness. The session included provincial ministers, Karachi’s mayor, police chief, and heads of disaster management and key utility departments.

Forecasters expect a slightly early heat-low pressure system in southern Pakistan, with rainfall levels normal to above normal in July and August. Upper Sindh may see a 10% rainfall increase, while southern Sindh could receive 20-30% more rain.

Flood management is a top priority, especially for the Lower Indus region, which faces flood risks from the Indus River and hill torrents.

To prepare, all relevant departments are working to improve drainage systems and ensure pumping stations are fully operational. Cleaning of drains began on June 20 and will continue through mid-September, focusing on clearing major blockages.

Priority is given to underpasses like Tariq Road, KPT, Submarine, and Mehran, with emergency teams on high alert citywide.

Challenges remain due to infrastructure limits for handling heavy rainfall and issues such as plastic waste and encroachments blocking drains, particularly in District Korangi.

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